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storage

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Historical Cost of Computer Memory and Storage

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Following up on the last post, here is the long view of cost of computer storage. In the categories magnetic disks; RAM; and flash / SSD, it plots the cheapest USD-per-byte option over time. It confirms the stagnation of price improvements previously discussed. RAM is going through its cyclic volatility, and is now at a local peak (due to supply shortage; see below), while prices for magnetic drives are flatting out. Finally, SSD have gotten more expensive over the last year, also due to supply issue. Crossing the HDD trajectory is far of, and according to Western Digital’s projections in the chart below, it will not happen in the next ten years.

The first three charts below (in white) zoom in on these developments in recent years, linear scale, at USD / GB. That way, it becomes a bit easier to examine current trends, without having to deal with the prices from 60 years ago which were twelve magnitudes higher. The following two charts use logarithmic USB / MB scale to visualize the full history, which makes the very consistent longterm trends clear.

Detailed analysis continues below the charts.

See here for the updated data and charts, and detailed information.

 
 

HDD: Recent history 2005 – present; Linear scale; USD / GB

 

 
 

SSD: Recent history 2005 – present; Linear scale; USD / GB

 

 
 

RAM: Recent history 2005 – present; Linear scale; USD / GB


 
 

Recent history 2005 – present; Logarithmic scale; USD / MB

 

 
 

Full history 1957 – present; Logarithmic scale; USD / MB

 

(Click image for larger version)
 
 

HDD

Despite sobering movements in price, there are interesting news on the horizon: Heat Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) is now not too far away. Seagate talked about their plans for 2018 already at the beginning of this year, mentioning a 16 TB HAMR option. And this autumn, Western Digital demonstrated their first helium Microwave-Assisted Magnetic Recording (MAMR) drive. The principle of energized assistance in dealing with smaller magnetized areas is the same as HAMR, but MAMR uses a microwave while HAMR uses a laser. Western Digital talked about MAMR technology enabling growth to 40 TB by 2025.

Meanwhile, Toshiba announced a 9 platter PMR drive at 14 TB. This is probably closer to market than MAMR technology, and should see shelves in 2018. Even though nine platters is a very impressive feat, that direction will eventually stagnate, and so will PMR. That’s way WD’s chart below shows PMR flattening out, while in their opinion, MAMR will produce a drive double the size by 2025. Most likely, this will be realized combining all these technologies: helium filled drives; nine platters and MAMR.

It’s interesting to note that with these developments, WD believes the 10x margin from SSD will continue for at least another ten years. However, with the sizes of the HDD options now available, we might also be at a point where it has saturated the “average” consumer demand. Except for special interests like photo, video or hoarding, a 1 or 2 TB SSD is still plenty of space in a laptop, everything else is “in the cloud” anyway. Therefore, the demand for large HDD will come from data centers and other corporate systems. They can afford higher prices, so the large drives might not see the same exponential decrease in price as the smaller consumer options.

SSD

The prices of SSDs still suffer from a supply shortage of NAND chips since autumn 2016. This has caused prices to increase during 2017. Furthermore, transition from 2D planer to 3D based technology has caused problems and delays for some manufacturers.

Future developments in SSD is now more focused on IO speed, and size, than reduction in price. Samsung’s massive 15 TB PM1633a became available last year, but at $10.000, that’s for special interest only. Micron is following, and recently announced a 11 TB NVMe based drive, and interestingly designing its own rack solution for SSDs in “shared storage” configuration for the data centre.

Even for the home user, it looks like SATA based SSD storage will soon be over, with newer solutions connecting to the PCIe bus over NVMe using the M.2 or U.2 connectors, or directly through PCIe HHHL (half-height half-length) cards. This gives extreme bandwidth potential, and Kingston’s DCP1000 1.6TB has reached 7 GB/s (in RAID configuration). It’s amusing to see that the PCIe the card merely a container for four M.2 drives.

It seems SATA will be left behind in the SSD market, as most high-end products now connect to the faster PCIe bus, either over M.2 or U.2 connectors, or directly with a HHHL (half-length half-height) PCIe slot card.

RAM

Finally, memory prices have also been increasing over the last year, again due to supply shortage. Some blame Apple’s latest iPhone, and expect the supply shortage to last into 2018, when “Samsung and SK Hynix [are] expected to begin production at additional factories”.

Technology wise, DDR4 is now well established, and Corsair just released a 32 GB kit at 4 GHz, while G.Skill announced a 16 GB 4.6 GHz kit. Meanwhile, Rambus is planning the next generation: DDR5 and HBM3 (High Bandwidth Memory for GPUs). They plan to move to a 7 nm process (down from 28 nm in DDR4), and expect 4.8 – 6.4 Gb/s bandwidth. However, products will not show up before 2019, the earliest.

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Storage prices – end of 2017

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HDD

Since last year’s update, there are a few interesting newcomers in the very large HDD section, including 10 TB and 12 TB offerings from Western Digital and Seagate. WD has also just released a 14TB helium SMR (shingled magnetic recording) drive, and we can expect it to be available soon. However, these drives are still expensive, and the most byte-for-buck is still in the 8 TB SMR Seagate, even though it has almost kept its price-point since a year ago.

In documenting the newer drives, it has become increasingly difficult to find information on what technology they use. Product listing often don’t mention numbers of platters, helium (or not) or SMR vs. PMR (perpendicular magnetic recording), and not even WD’s own technical specification sheets go into detail. Thus, some of it has become guess-work. I’m assuming that all drives at 8 TB and above have to use helium to be able to include more platters. Furthermore, it seems anything beyond 14 TB will need to combine helium and SMR. This is more or less in line with this prediction from 2014, where the next technology stage for the next fives years is Heat Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR).

SSD

SSDs continue to grow in size, however, have moved only a little in price. The 1 TB Samsung EVO basic was €316 last year, and is now €238, or a 25% reduction. Most offerings are at least 10x more expensive per byte than HDD, which has always been the case.

More interestingly, NVM-M.2 based SSDs are becoming more common, and faster. The Samsung EVO 960 is now at 3500 MB/s read and 2100 MB/s write, and the 512 GB version costs €281, or a 2x premium from 2.5″ SSDs. Whether they will make a noticeable difference in day-to-day applications is up for discussion.

Flash

Finally, flash cards and drives of all types are also increasing in size, and decreasing somewhat in price. Furthermore, several modules from SanDisk have significantly increased IO speeds, with the Extreme Pro micro SDXC range at 275 MB/s read and 100 MB/s write. And the Extreme Pro CFast series, using the newer CFast standard reaches 525 MB/s read and 450 MB/s write. (However, it is not compatible with the old CF standard).

Media Type Product Capacity Price CHF Price Euros Euros / GB GBs / Euro
HDD-SMR Seagate ARCHIVE HDD 8TB 8000 GB 233.00 199.15 0.02 40.17
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 4TB 4000 GB 120.00 102.56 0.03 39.00
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 8TB, USB3 8000 GB 249.00 212.82 0.03 37.59
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 6TB 6000 GB 199.00 170.09 0.03 35.28
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 6TB, USB3 6000 GB 205.00 175.21 0.03 34.24
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 139.00 118.80 0.03 33.67
HDD-He Western Digital Red 8TB 8000 GB 279.00 238.46 0.03 33.55
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 3TB 3000 GB 105.00 89.74 0.03 33.43
HDD Western Digital Red 6TB 6000 GB 215.00 183.76 0.03 32.65
HDD Western Digital Red 4TB 4000 GB 145.00 123.93 0.03 32.28
HDD-He Seagate Enterprise Capacity 12TB 12000 GB 448.00 382.91 0.03 31.34
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 2TB 2000 GB 75.00 64.10 0.03 31.20
HDD Western Digital Red 3TB 3000 GB 115.00 98.29 0.03 30.52
HDD-He Western Digital Red 10TB 10000 GB 385.00 329.06 0.03 30.39
HDD-He Seagate Enterprise Capacity 8TB 8000 GB 320.00 273.50 0.03 29.25
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 5TB 5000 GB 204.00 174.36 0.03 28.68
HDD-He Seagate Barracuda Pro 10TB 10000 GB 410.00 350.43 0.04 28.54
HDD-He Seagate Enterprise Capacity 10TB 10000 GB 411.00 351.28 0.04 28.47
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 125.00 106.84 0.04 28.08
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 85.00 72.65 0.04 27.53
HDD-He Seagate IronWolf Pro 10TB 10000 GB 425.00 363.25 0.04 27.53
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 175.00 149.57 0.04 26.74
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 50 @ 25GB 1250 GB 55.00 47.01 0.04 26.59
HDD-He Seagate IronWolf Pro 12TB 12000 GB 529.00 452.14 0.04 26.54
HDD-He Hitachi Ultrastar He8 8TB 8000 GB 362.00 309.40 0.04 25.86
HDD-He Seagate Barracuda Pro 12TB 12000 GB 557.00 476.07 0.04 25.21
HDD Western Digital Red 2TB 2000 GB 94.00 80.34 0.04 24.89
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 155.00 132.48 0.04 22.65
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 1TB 1000 GB 55.00 47.01 0.05 21.27
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 65.00 55.56 0.06 18.00
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 89.00 76.07 0.08 13.15
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 10 @ 25GB 250 GB 23.10 19.74 0.08 12.66
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R DL 10 @ 50GB 500 GB 47.70 40.77 0.08 12.26
DVD-R Verbatim 16x DVD-R 100 @ 4,7GB 470 GB 46.00 39.32 0.08 11.95
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 50 @ 8,5GB 425 GB 81.50 69.66 0.16 6.10
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 25 @ 8,5GB 213 GB 41.00 35.04 0.16 6.06
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 1TB 1000 GB 279.00 238.46 0.24 4.19
SSD Crucial MX300 SSD, 3D, 2000GB 2000 GB 579.00 494.87 0.25 4.04
SSD Crucial MX300 SSD, 3D, 1050GB 1050 GB 309.00 264.10 0.25 3.98
SSD Crucial MX300 SSD, 3D, 525GB 525 GB 165.00 141.03 0.27 3.72
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 256GB 256 GB 84.90 72.56 0.28 3.53
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 2TB 2000 GB 699.00 597.44 0.30 3.35
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 500GB 500 GB 175.00 149.57 0.30 3.34
SSD Crucial MX300 SSD, 3D, 275GB 275 GB 99.00 84.62 0.31 3.25
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 4TB 4000 GB 1475.00 1260.68 0.32 3.17
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 64GB 64 GB 24.40 20.85 0.33 3.07
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 250GB 250 GB 103.00 88.03 0.35 2.84
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 32B 32 GB 14.60 12.48 0.39 2.56
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 479.00 409.40 0.40 2.50
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 2048GB 2048 GB 969.00 828.21 0.40 2.47
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 255.00 217.95 0.43 2.35
CD-R Verbatim CD-R 100 @ 700MB 70 GB 35.70 30.51 0.44 2.29
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 145.00 123.93 0.48 2.07
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC U3, Class 10/UHS 3 95/90MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 79.60 68.03 0.53 1.88
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC U3, Class 10/UHS 3 95/90MB/s, 256GB 256 GB 160.00 136.75 0.53 1.87
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 960 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 3500/2100MB/s, 1000GB 1000 GB 629.00 537.61 0.54 1.86
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 960 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 3500/2100MB/s, 2000GB 2000 GB 1279.00 1093.16 0.55 1.83
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 960 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 3500/2100MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 329.00 281.20 0.55 1.82
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC U3, Class 10/UHS 3 95/90MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 47.90 40.94 0.64 1.56
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC U3, Class 10/UHS 3 95/90MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 389.00 332.48 0.65 1.54
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro microSDXC, Class 10, 100/90MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 50.10 42.82 0.67 1.49
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 75.00 64.10 1.00 1.00
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 256GB 256 GB 326.00 278.63 1.09 0.92
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 128GB 128 GB 168.00 143.59 1.12 0.89
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 44.00 37.61 1.18 0.85
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 92.70 79.23 1.24 0.81
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro microSDXC, Class 10, 100/275MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 220.00 188.03 1.47 0.68
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 57.20 48.89 1.53 0.65
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro microSDXC, Class 10, 100/275MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 125.00 106.84 1.67 0.60
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 16GB 16 GB 37.00 31.62 1.98 0.51
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 450MB/s, CFast 2.0, 128GB 128 GB 389.00 332.48 2.60 0.38
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 450MB/s, CFast 2.0, 64GB 64 GB 236.00 201.71 3.15 0.32

Exchange rate: 1 Euro = 1.170000 CHF.

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Storage prices – end of 2016

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The last half-year have seen few movements in spinning disk prices, and actually some have gotten a few coins more expensive. It is still the 8 TB SMR Seagate drive which give most storage for money, only with the exception of a special offer on an external 8 TB WD disk. In fact, several of the external offerings are now cheaper than their internal counterparts.

Also worth noting, is that Western Digital has deprecated their long time cheapest Green line, in favour of the Blue color. However, take care: The Blue line contains both 5400 and 7200 RPM drives. The ones listed here are all 5400 RPM.

On the SSD side, things have also not changed much. There were some promises, but not much in terms of concrete offerings this year.

Finally, many of the flash cards are getting more competitive. Indeed, the the Sandisk Ultra 256 GB key, as well as the 200 GB micro SD card are now pretty great offering for on-the-go storage. They’d fit very decent sized music collections, picture albums, etc.

Media Type Product Capacity Price CHF Price Euros Euros / GB GBs / Euro
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 8TB, USB3 8000 GB 250.00 233.64 0.03 34.24
HDD-SMR Seagate ARCHIVE HDD 8TB 8000 GB 266.00 248.60 0.03 32.18
HDD Seagate Desktop 4TB 4000 GB 134.00 125.23 0.03 31.94
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 6TB, USB3 6000 GB 202.00 188.79 0.03 31.78
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 135.00 126.17 0.03 31.70
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 3TB 3000 GB 107.00 100.00 0.03 30.00
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 4TB 4000 GB 145.00 135.51 0.03 29.52
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 149.00 139.25 0.03 28.72
SMR External 3.5 Seagate Backup Plus Desktop 8TB 8000 GB 300.00 280.37 0.04 28.53
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 115.00 107.48 0.04 27.91
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 118.00 110.28 0.04 27.20
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 6TB 6000 GB 244.00 228.04 0.04 26.31
HDD Western Digital Red 4TB 4000 GB 164.00 153.27 0.04 26.10
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 5TB 5000 GB 208.00 194.39 0.04 25.72
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 125.00 116.82 0.04 25.68
HDD Western Digital Red 3TB 3000 GB 126.00 117.76 0.04 25.48
HDD Western Digital Red 6TB 6000 GB 252.00 235.51 0.04 25.48
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 2TB 2000 GB 84.90 79.35 0.04 25.21
HDD-He Western Digital Red 8TB 8000 GB 345.00 322.43 0.04 24.81
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 88.00 82.24 0.04 24.32
HDD Western Digital Red 2TB 2000 GB 98.00 91.59 0.05 21.84
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 103.00 96.26 0.05 20.78
HDD-He Hitachi Ultrastar He6 6TB 6000 GB 361.00 337.38 0.06 17.78
HDD Western Digital Blue, 5400 RPM 1TB 1000 GB 61.70 57.66 0.06 17.34
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 62.00 57.94 0.06 17.26
HDD-He Hitachi Ultrastar He8 8TB 8000 GB 517.00 483.18 0.06 16.56
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 72.00 67.29 0.07 14.86
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 10 @ 25GB 250 GB 23.90 22.34 0.09 11.19
DVD-R Verbatim 16x DVD-R 100 @ 4,7GB 470 GB 46.00 42.99 0.09 10.93
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R DL 10 @ 50GB 500 GB 49.00 45.79 0.09 10.92
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 25 @ 8,5GB 213 GB 39.00 36.45 0.17 5.83
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 50 @ 8,5GB 425 GB 95.40 89.16 0.21 4.77
SSD Crucial BX200 SSD, MLC, 480GB 480 GB 139.00 129.91 0.27 3.69
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 256GB 256 GB 78.00 72.90 0.28 3.51
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 500GB 500 GB 165.00 154.21 0.31 3.24
SSD Crucial BX200 SSD, MLC, 240GB 240 GB 81.00 75.70 0.32 3.17
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 1TB 1000 GB 339.00 316.82 0.32 3.16
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 175.00 163.55 0.33 3.06
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 1000GB 1000 GB 374.00 349.53 0.35 2.86
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 250GB 250 GB 95.30 89.07 0.36 2.81
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 193.00 180.37 0.36 2.77
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 250GB 250 GB 100.00 93.46 0.37 2.68
microSDXC SanDisk Ultra Premium microSDXC 90MB/s, 200GB 200 GB 85.00 79.44 0.40 2.52
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 64GB 64 GB 27.80 25.98 0.41 2.46
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 454.00 424.30 0.41 2.41
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 64GB 64 GB 28.80 26.92 0.42 2.38
CD-R Verbatim CD-R 100 @ 700MB 70 GB 32.60 30.47 0.44 2.30
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 239.00 223.36 0.44 2.29
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 139.00 129.91 0.51 1.97
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 32GB 32 GB 18.80 17.57 0.55 1.82
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 32B 32 GB 19.50 18.22 0.57 1.76
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 82.80 77.38 0.60 1.65
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 950 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 2500/1500MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 361.00 337.38 0.66 1.52
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 950 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 2200/900MB/s, 256GB 256 GB 187.00 174.77 0.68 1.46
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 389.00 363.55 0.71 1.41
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 99.70 93.18 0.73 1.37
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 120GB 120 GB 95.70 89.44 0.75 1.34
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 55.00 51.40 0.80 1.25
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 16GB 16 GB 14.90 13.93 0.87 1.15
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 33.00 30.84 0.96 1.04
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 75.00 70.09 1.10 0.91
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 256GB 256 GB 347.00 324.30 1.27 0.79
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 128GB 128 GB 175.00 163.55 1.28 0.78
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 98.50 92.06 1.44 0.70
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 8GB 8 GB 12.90 12.06 1.51 0.66
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 52.70 49.25 1.54 0.65
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 27.00 25.23 1.58 0.63
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 117.00 109.35 1.71 0.59
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 60.10 56.17 1.76 0.57
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 16GB 16 GB 36.40 34.02 2.13 0.47
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 52.70 49.25 3.08 0.32

Exchange rate: 1 Euro = 1.070000 CHF.

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Storage prices

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As predicted in January, there have indeed been a number of exciting releases and announcements so far this year: Samsung finally launched their 15TB SSD; Intel brought 16nm TLC SSD to market; SanDisk (now owned by Western Digital) continue to launch faster larger SD cards; and a new large and heavy 8 TB USB 3.1 C external drive from Seagate was just made available.

On the list below, there are also a few changes, including some new 8 TB disks from Western Digital. Prices are coming down a bit, but also due to currency fluctuations. Several 8 TB spinning disks are now very competitively priced.

SSD drives are also coming down in price, and starting last year, more drives are now becoming cheaper per byte than optical media. That is of course mainly due to the fact that there has been no development in the latter technology, however, it’s a milestone worth noting since the next is in fact price parity with certain spinning disks. Where the gap has been 10x for the last decade (and still is for the cheapest HDD), it is now closing in more rapidly. Between the cheapest SSD byte and most expensive HDD byte the factor is now 3x-4x.

Media Type Product Capacity Price CHF Price Euros Euros / GB GBs / Euro
HDD-SMR Seagate ARCHIVE HDD 8TB 8000 GB 259.00 237.61 0.03 33.67
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 132.00 121.10 0.03 33.03
HDD Seagate Desktop 4TB 4000 GB 133.00 122.02 0.03 32.78
SMR External 3.5 Seagate Backup Plus Desktop 8TB 8000 GB 269.00 246.79 0.03 32.42
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 135.00 123.85 0.03 32.30
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 8TB, USB3 8000 GB 274.00 251.38 0.03 31.82
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 6TB, USB3 6000 GB 209.00 191.74 0.03 31.29
HDD Western Digital Green 3TB 3000 GB 106.00 97.25 0.03 30.85
HDD Western Digital Green 4TB 4000 GB 148.00 135.78 0.03 29.46
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 115.00 105.50 0.04 28.43
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 116.00 106.42 0.04 28.19
HDD Western Digital Red 3TB 3000 GB 120.00 110.09 0.04 27.25
HDD Western Digital Red 4TB 4000 GB 165.00 151.38 0.04 26.42
HDD-He Western Digital Red 8TB 8000 GB 339.00 311.01 0.04 25.72
HDD Western Digital Green 2TB 2000 GB 84.80 77.80 0.04 25.71
HDD Western Digital Green 6TB 6000 GB 255.00 233.94 0.04 25.65
HDD Western Digital Red 5TB 5000 GB 214.00 196.33 0.04 25.47
HDD Western Digital Red 6TB 6000 GB 259.00 237.61 0.04 25.25
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 91.00 83.49 0.04 23.96
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 142.00 130.28 0.04 23.03
HDD Western Digital Red 2TB 2000 GB 99.00 90.83 0.05 22.02
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 99.00 90.83 0.05 22.02
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 64.00 58.72 0.06 17.03
HDD-He Hitachi Ultrastar He6 6TB 6000 GB 436.00 400.00 0.07 15.00
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 73.00 66.97 0.07 14.93
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 10 @ 25GB 250 GB 19.00 17.43 0.07 14.34
HDD-He Hitachi Ultrastar He8 8TB 8000 GB 724.00 664.22 0.08 12.04
DVD-R Verbatim 16x DVD-R 100 @ 4,7GB 470 GB 46.00 42.20 0.09 11.14
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R DL 10 @ 50GB 500 GB 51.90 47.61 0.10 10.50
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 50 @ 8,5GB 425 GB 71.00 65.14 0.15 6.52
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 25 @ 8,5GB 213 GB 39.00 35.78 0.17 5.94
SSD Crucial BX200 SSD, MLC, 480GB 480 GB 125.00 114.68 0.24 4.19
SSD Crucial BX200 SSD, MLC, 240GB 240 GB 69.10 63.39 0.26 3.79
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 1000GB 1000 GB 288.00 264.22 0.26 3.78
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 1TB 1000 GB 299.00 274.31 0.27 3.65
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 155.00 142.20 0.28 3.52
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 500GB 500 GB 166.00 152.29 0.30 3.28
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 1000GB 1000 GB 339.00 311.01 0.31 3.22
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 181.00 166.06 0.33 3.01
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 256GB 256 GB 96.90 88.90 0.35 2.88
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 250GB 250 GB 99.00 90.83 0.36 2.75
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 250GB 250 GB 99.30 91.10 0.36 2.74
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 64GB 64 GB 25.80 23.67 0.37 2.70
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 436.00 400.00 0.39 2.56
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 64GB 64 GB 28.80 26.42 0.41 2.42
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 241.00 221.10 0.43 2.32
CD-R Verbatim CD-R 100 @ 700MB 70 GB 34.50 31.65 0.45 2.21
microSDXC SanDisk Ultra Premium microSDXC 90MB/s, 200GB 200 GB 99.00 90.83 0.45 2.20
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 134.00 122.94 0.48 2.08
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 32GB 32 GB 17.10 15.69 0.49 2.04
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 256GB 256 GB 144.00 132.11 0.52 1.94
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 32B 32 GB 19.50 17.89 0.56 1.79
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 79.10 72.57 0.57 1.76
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 120GB 120 GB 79.00 72.48 0.60 1.66
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 950 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 2500/1500MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 359.00 329.36 0.64 1.55
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 371.00 340.37 0.66 1.50
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 97.40 89.36 0.70 1.43
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 950 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 2200/900MB/s, 256GB 256 GB 195.00 178.90 0.70 1.43
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 16GB 16 GB 12.90 11.83 0.74 1.35
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro microSDXC, Class 10, 90/95MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 52.00 47.71 0.75 1.34
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 55.00 50.46 0.79 1.27
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 33.00 30.28 0.95 1.06
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 75.00 68.81 1.08 0.93
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 8GB 8 GB 10.90 10.00 1.25 0.80
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 128GB 128 GB 175.00 160.55 1.25 0.80
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 256GB 256 GB 351.00 322.02 1.26 0.79
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 98.50 90.37 1.41 0.71
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 52.30 47.98 1.50 0.67
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 27.00 24.77 1.55 0.65
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 116.00 106.42 1.66 0.60
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 59.10 54.22 1.69 0.59
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 75.10 68.90 2.15 0.46
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 16GB 16 GB 39.20 35.96 2.25 0.44
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 49.70 45.60 2.85 0.35

Exchange rate: 1 Euro = 1.090000 CHF.

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Storage prices

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There are number of new interesting storage alternatives on the market these days, and more are set to arrive throughout 2016. The large 8 TB SMR Seagate drives, both internal and external, top the list as most affordable per byte. They are followed by various traditional 3 and 4 TB drives. At the bottom amongst the HDD, we find the helium filled HGST drives. A 10 TB SMR version is expected to reach the market soon.

In SSD land, the picture is reversed, where it is the largest drives which gives you most capacity per coin, at continuously decreasing prices. Added to the mix, is the new NVM-M.2 motherboard socket standard, which attaches directly to the PCI bus. This gives vastly improved performance, at up to 5x read/write speeds of the traditional SATA3 connection.

Finally, amongst flash card and stick storage, there is similar prices decrease as SSD, and also increase in max size. The biggest SD cards are now at 512 GB.

Media Type Product Capacity Price CHF Price Euros Euros / GB GBs / Euro
HDD-SMR Seagate ARCHIVE HDD 8TB 8000 GB 238.00 216.36 0.03 36.97
SMR External 3.5 Seagate Backup Plus Desktop 8TB 8000 GB 274.00 249.09 0.03 32.12
HDD Seagate Desktop 4TB 4000 GB 139.00 126.36 0.03 31.65
HDD Western Digital Green 4TB 4000 GB 144.00 130.91 0.03 30.56
HDD Western Digital Green 3TB 3000 GB 110.00 100.00 0.03 30.00
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 149.00 135.45 0.03 29.53
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 154.00 140.00 0.04 28.57
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 123.00 111.82 0.04 26.83
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 6TB, USB3 6000 GB 248.00 225.45 0.04 26.61
HDD Western Digital Red 3TB 3000 GB 125.00 113.64 0.04 26.40
HDD Western Digital Green 2TB 2000 GB 83.60 76.00 0.04 26.32
HDD Western Digital Green 6TB 6000 GB 253.00 230.00 0.04 26.09
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 130.00 118.18 0.04 25.38
HDD Western Digital Red 5TB 5000 GB 229.00 208.18 0.04 24.02
HDD Western Digital Red 6TB 6000 GB 275.00 250.00 0.04 24.00
HDD Western Digital Red 4TB 4000 GB 184.00 167.27 0.04 23.91
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 98.40 89.45 0.04 22.36
HDD Western Digital Red 2TB 2000 GB 103.00 93.64 0.05 21.36
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 155.00 140.91 0.05 21.29
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 111.00 100.91 0.05 19.82
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 68.20 62.00 0.06 16.13
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 73.20 66.55 0.07 15.03
HDD-He Hitachi Ultrastar He6 6TB 6000 GB 441.00 400.91 0.07 14.97
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 10 @ 25GB 250 GB 23.70 21.55 0.09 11.60
DVD-R Verbatim 16x DVD-R 100 @ 4,7GB 470 GB 46.00 41.82 0.09 11.24
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R DL 10 @ 50GB 500 GB 50.00 45.45 0.09 11.00
HDD-He Hitachi Ultrastar He8 8TB 8000 GB 875.00 795.45 0.10 10.06
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 50 @ 8,5GB 425 GB 73.30 66.64 0.16 6.38
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 25 @ 8,5GB 213 GB 39.00 35.45 0.17 5.99
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 1TB 1000 GB 336.00 305.45 0.31 3.27
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 169.00 153.64 0.31 3.25
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 1000GB 1000 GB 344.00 312.73 0.31 3.20
SSD Crucial BX200 SSD, MLC, 480GB 480 GB 168.00 152.73 0.32 3.14
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 250GB 250 GB 88.00 80.00 0.32 3.13
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 1000GB 1000 GB 352.00 320.00 0.32 3.13
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 500GB 500 GB 177.00 160.91 0.32 3.11
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 182.00 165.45 0.33 3.02
USB Flash SanDisk Ultra, USB 3.0, 256GB 256 GB 96.90 88.09 0.34 2.91
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 250GB 250 GB 97.20 88.36 0.35 2.83
SSD Crucial BX200 SSD, MLC, 240GB 240 GB 98.10 89.18 0.37 2.69
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 250GB 250 GB 110.00 100.00 0.40 2.50
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 469.00 426.36 0.42 2.40
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 64GB 64 GB 29.80 27.09 0.42 2.36
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 247.00 224.55 0.44 2.28
CD-R Verbatim CD-R 100 @ 700MB 70 GB 34.90 31.73 0.45 2.21
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 140.00 127.27 0.50 2.01
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 32GB 32 GB 18.70 17.00 0.53 1.88
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 120GB 120 GB 73.60 66.91 0.56 1.79
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 256GB 256 GB 161.00 146.36 0.57 1.75
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 950 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 2500/1500MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 345.00 313.64 0.61 1.63
SDXC SanDisk Extreme SDXC, Class 10/UHS 3, 40/60MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 93.40 84.91 0.66 1.51
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 94.00 85.45 0.67 1.50
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 97.30 88.45 0.69 1.45
SSD-NVM-M.2 Samsung SSD 950 Pro, M.2 2280, MLC, 2200/900MB/s, 256GB 256 GB 199.00 180.91 0.71 1.42
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 16GB 16 GB 12.90 11.73 0.73 1.36
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 419.00 380.91 0.74 1.34
microSDXC SanDisk Ultra Premium microSDXC 90MB/s, 200GB 200 GB 168.00 152.73 0.76 1.31
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro microSDXC, Class 10, 90/95MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 57.60 52.36 0.82 1.22
SDHC SanDisk Extreme SDHC, Class 10/UHS 3, 40/60MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 29.00 26.36 0.82 1.21
microSDHC SanDisk Ultra microSDHC Android, Class 10, 48MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 30.60 27.82 0.87 1.15
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 62.00 56.36 0.88 1.14
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 38.10 34.64 1.08 0.92
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 8GB 8 GB 10.00 9.09 1.14 0.88
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 256GB 256 GB 342.00 310.91 1.21 0.82
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 128GB 128 GB 187.00 170.00 1.33 0.75
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 98.50 89.55 1.40 0.71
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 52.00 47.27 1.48 0.68
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 114.00 103.64 1.62 0.62
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 30.70 27.91 1.74 0.57
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 127.00 115.45 1.80 0.55
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 64.00 58.18 1.82 0.55
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 76.20 69.27 2.16 0.46
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 16GB 16 GB 43.00 39.09 2.44 0.41
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 50.10 45.55 2.85 0.35

Exchange rate: 1 Euro = 1.100000 CHF.

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Historical Cost of Computer Memory and Storage

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During 2015 there have been considerable progress on both storage and memory fronts, including larger capacity, faster SSD drives and finally a shift to DDR4 DIMM. However, the 30 year old logarithmic trend in declining magnetic storage prices is distinctly broken. In fact, this year there has been little movement in price / byte at all for HDDs.

For magnetic drives, HGST announced the biggest yet 10 TB Ultrastar Archive Ha10 drive. Interestingly, it combines the 7 platters helium filled technology with Shingled Magnetic Recording (SMR). As such, it is in the same niche as the Seagate 8 TB Archive 6 platter archive drive. The helium drives are still expensive, but the Seagate SMR drives is close to the top of the list of price / byte. However, for now it is beaten by the conventional Perpendicular Magnetic Recording (PMR) Toshiba 5 TB PH3500U-1I72 drive, so there is no need to split out the SMR technology in the charts below.

Also a first, is Samsung’s enterprise SSD drive, PM1633a, which at 16 TB beats the special magnetic archive drives by a considerable margin, but of course also in price. More obtainable are the new breed of PCI NVM Express drives which increases the read/write speed far beyond the 6 Gbit/s SATA 3 barrier. The Intel 750 Series 1.2 TB drive is specified at 2500 MByte/s (20 Gbit/s) sequential read.

See here for the updated data and charts, and detailed information. That page is becoming a reference point, so I will put in more effort to keep it up to date.

Full history 1957 – present


(Click image for larger version)

Recent history 2005 – present

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Storage prices

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Although the prices on medium sized, 3 to 4 TB, spinnings disks remain about constant since the beginning of the year, a new drive has jumped right to the top of the list this time: The Seagate ARCHIVE HDD 8TB at 260 Euro or 0.03 GB Euro per GB (30.6 GB per Euro). This drive is not for everybody, though. It’s using Shingled Magnetic Recording (SMR) in “drive managed” mode, which means it’s a write-a-few-times / read-many drive. Or in other words, well suited for a large movie collection or as its name suggest large backups in single disk mode. It is specifically not designed for RAID mode. This review goes into further details. What’s interesting, is that it’s a 6 platter (1.33 TB platters) drive, without any other special hacks to make that work. If the same disk goes to 10 TB by next year as hinted earlier, it will mean 1.67 TB platters.

Contrast that to the Hitachi HGST Ultrastar Helium 8 TB drive at the opposite end of the HDD price spectrum. At 800 Euros, it’s more than three times more expensive than the Seagate 8 TB drive. The HGST uses helium to pack 7 platters into one drive, and needs a special seal to keep the light helium gas inside. It’s still an unproven technology, and only time will tell if it really works. Given the very high price over even 6 TB “normal” drives, it’s unclear which market segment would bet on this drive. Maybe it’s still priced at “early adopters” premium.

In the SSD section, Samsung has moved to the 850 series in both EVO Basic and Pro lines. Crucial has launched new BX100 and MX200 MLC lines. The new BX100 line gets overall good review in this Anandtech article. Prices have not changed significantly, and the larger drives still give the most bytes per coin. The 500 GB drives are now excellent laptop upgrades if you’re still on spinning disks.

Finally, on flash cards I’ve also added micro SD, and a good selection of alternative SanDisk SD cards. Except for size, the distinguishing factor on these cards is read and write speed. This SanDisk article explains the Class and UHS ratings. It’s nice to see that the cards it makes most sense to buy for the average consumer are also towards the top: For your phone (if it has a memory slot) a 64 GB Sandisk Ultra microSDXC Class 10, 48MB/s at 43 Euro should be a good investment. While for your mid-range DSLR a 64 GB Sandisk Extreme SDXC, Class 10/UHS 3, 40/60MB/s at 50 Euros will give lots of space and good burst rate even with raw files.

Media Type Product Capacity Price CHF Price Euros Euros / GB GBs / Euro
HDD Seagate ARCHIVE HDD 8TB 8000 GB 272.00 261.54 0.03 30.59
HDD Western Digital Green 3TB 3000 GB 107.00 102.88 0.03 29.16
HDD Western Digital Green 4TB 4000 GB 148.00 142.31 0.04 28.11
HDD Seagate Desktop 4TB 4000 GB 149.00 143.27 0.04 27.92
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 150.00 144.23 0.04 27.73
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 157.00 150.96 0.04 26.50
HDD Western Digital Purple 3TB 3000 GB 118.00 113.46 0.04 26.44
HDD Western Digital Green 6TB 6000 GB 237.00 227.88 0.04 26.33
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 119.00 114.42 0.04 26.22
HDD Western Digital Red 3TB 3000 GB 120.00 115.38 0.04 26.00
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 126.00 121.15 0.04 24.76
HDD Western Digital Red 4TB 4000 GB 169.00 162.50 0.04 24.62
HDD Western Digital Purple 4TB 4000 GB 169.00 162.50 0.04 24.62
HDD Western Digital Green 2TB 2000 GB 84.70 81.44 0.04 24.56
HDD Western Digital Red 6TB 6000 GB 259.00 249.04 0.04 24.09
HDD Western Digital Red 5TB 5000 GB 216.00 207.69 0.04 24.07
HDD Hitachi Deskstar 7K4000, 4TB 4000 GB 175.00 168.27 0.04 23.77
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 6TB, USB3 6000 GB 282.00 271.15 0.05 22.13
HDD Western Digital Purple 2TB 2000 GB 95.30 91.63 0.05 21.83
HDD Western Digital Red 2TB 2000 GB 98.00 94.23 0.05 21.22
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 99.00 95.19 0.05 21.01
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 107.00 102.88 0.05 19.44
HDD Western Digital Green 1TB 1000 GB 57.50 55.29 0.06 18.09
HDD Western Digital Purple 1TB 1000 GB 66.30 63.75 0.06 15.69
HDD Western Digital Red 1TB 1000 GB 68.00 65.38 0.07 15.29
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 69.00 66.35 0.07 15.07
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 10 @ 25GB 250 GB 18.00 17.31 0.07 14.44
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 73.40 70.58 0.07 14.17
DVD-R Verbatim 16x DVD-R 100 @ 4,7GB 470 GB 34.70 33.37 0.07 14.09
HDD Hitachi Ultrastar He6 6TB 6000 GB 476.00 457.69 0.08 13.11
HDD Hitachi Ultrastar He8 8TB 8000 GB 803.00 772.12 0.10 10.36
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R DL 10 @ 50GB 500 GB 52.00 50.00 0.10 10.00
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 25 @ 8,5GB 213 GB 37.30 35.87 0.17 5.92
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 50 @ 8,5GB 425 GB 80.10 77.02 0.18 5.52
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 1000GB 1000 GB 349.00 335.58 0.34 2.98
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 250GB 250 GB 89.70 86.25 0.34 2.90
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 1TB 1000 GB 369.00 354.81 0.35 2.82
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 1000GB 1000 GB 372.00 357.69 0.36 2.80
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 500GB 500 GB 189.00 181.73 0.36 2.75
SSD Crucial BX100 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 190.00 182.69 0.37 2.74
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 500GB 500 GB 192.00 184.62 0.37 2.71
SSD Crucial MX200 SSD, MLC, 250GB 250 GB 104.00 100.00 0.40 2.50
SSD Crucial MX100 SSD, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 113.00 108.65 0.42 2.36
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 250GB 250 GB 116.00 111.54 0.45 2.24
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 495.00 475.96 0.46 2.15
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 64GB 64 GB 31.50 30.29 0.47 2.11
CD-R Verbatim CD-R 100 @ 700MB 70 GB 36.00 34.62 0.49 2.02
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 267.00 256.73 0.50 1.99
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 145.00 139.42 0.54 1.84
SDXC SanDisk Ultra SDXC, Class 10, 40MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 37.00 35.58 0.56 1.80
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 32GB 32 GB 19.20 18.46 0.58 1.73
SSD Samsung SSD 850 EVO Basic, TLC, 120GB 120 GB 72.50 69.71 0.58 1.72
microSDXC SanDisk Ultra microSDXC Android, Class 10, 48MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 45.00 43.27 0.68 1.48
SDHC SanDisk Ultra SDHC, Class 10, 40MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 22.50 21.63 0.68 1.48
microSDXC SanDisk Ultra microSDXC Android 48MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 93.00 89.42 0.70 1.43
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 93.70 90.10 0.70 1.42
SDXC SanDisk Extreme SDXC, Class 10/UHS 3, 40/60MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 51.60 49.62 0.78 1.29
USB Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro, USB 3.0, 128GB 128 GB 105.00 100.96 0.79 1.27
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme microSDXC, Class 10 40/60MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 52.60 50.58 0.79 1.27
SDXC SanDisk Ultra SDXC, Class 10, 40MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 108.00 103.85 0.81 1.23
SDXC SanDisk Extreme SDXC, Class 10/UHS 3, 40/60MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 111.00 106.73 0.83 1.20
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 16GB 16 GB 15.00 14.42 0.90 1.11
SDHC SanDisk Extreme SDHC, Class 10/UHS 3, 40/60MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 30.20 29.04 0.91 1.10
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Plus SDXC, Class 10/UHS 1, 80/60MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 122.00 117.31 0.92 1.09
SDHC SanDisk Ultra SDHC, Class 10, 40MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 15.40 14.81 0.93 1.08
microSDHC SanDisk Ultra microSDHC Android, Class 10, 48MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 30.90 29.71 0.93 1.08
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 256GB 256 GB 258.00 248.08 0.97 1.03
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 512GB 512 GB 525.00 504.81 0.99 1.01
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 3, 95/90MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 135.00 129.81 1.01 0.99
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro microSDXC, Class 10, 90/95MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 70.90 68.17 1.07 0.94
microSDXC SanDisk Extreme Plus microSDXC, Class UHS-I/10, 50/80MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 79.00 75.96 1.19 0.84
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Plus SDXC, Class 10/UHS 1, 80/60MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 79.00 75.96 1.19 0.84
SDHC SanDisk Extreme SDHC, Class 10/UHS 3, 40/60MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 21.00 20.19 1.26 0.79
USB Flash SanDisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 8GB 8 GB 10.50 10.10 1.26 0.79
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 93.00 89.42 1.40 0.72
microSDXC SanDisk Ultra Premium microSDXC 90MB/s, 200GB 200 GB 299.00 287.50 1.44 0.70
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 48.70 46.83 1.46 0.68
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 199.00 191.35 1.49 0.67
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Plus SDHC, Class 10/UHS 1, 80/60MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 51.10 49.13 1.54 0.65
microSDHC SanDisk Extreme Plus microSDHC, Class 10, 50/80MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 51.40 49.42 1.54 0.65
SDHC SanDisk Extreme HD Video SDHC, Class 6, 20MB/s, 8GB 8 GB 15.80 15.19 1.90 0.53
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 127.00 122.12 1.91 0.52
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 256GB 256 GB 535.00 514.42 2.01 0.50
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDXC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 145.00 139.42 2.18 0.46
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-I, Class 10/UHS 1, 95/90MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 37.30 35.87 2.24 0.45
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 78.10 75.10 2.35 0.43
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 79.00 75.96 2.37 0.42
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 160.00 153.85 2.40 0.42
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Plus SDHC, Class 10/UHS 1, 80/60MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 40.70 39.13 2.45 0.41
SDXC SanDisk Extreme Plus SDXC, Class 10/UHS 1, 80/30MB/s, 8GB 8 GB 22.90 22.02 2.75 0.36
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 93.00 89.42 2.79 0.36
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 16GB 16 GB 50.70 48.75 3.05 0.33
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 128GB 128 GB 408.00 392.31 3.06 0.33
SDHC SanDisk Extreme Pro SDHC UHS-II, UHS 3, 280/250MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 63.80 61.35 3.83 0.26

Exchange rate: 1 Euro = 1.040000 CHF.

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Storage prices

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Since last September, there have been only minor changes in most storage prices. Some have actually gone up, and most price changes are due to currency exchange rates.

For spinning disks, 3 TB still gives most bytes per coin, and the 1 TB disks are now rather poor options. I will probably remove them in the next iteration, as it makes little sense to buy these models.

On SSD, bigger is also cheaper, and 512 GB models possibly the best for a laptop drive now. For a OS drive in a desktop with an extra disk, 256 should be fine.

Finally, on flash cards, some older versions have been removed. The remaining are fast and competitively priced.

Media Type Product Capacity Price CHF Price Euros Euros / GB GBs / Euro
HDD Western Digital Green 3TB 3000 GB 109.00 107.92 0.04 27.80
HDD Western Digital Purple 3TB 3000 GB 110.00 108.91 0.04 27.55
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 110.00 108.91 0.04 27.55
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 117.00 115.84 0.04 25.90
HDD Western Digital Purple 4TB 4000 GB 158.00 156.44 0.04 25.57
HDD Western Digital Red 3TB 3000 GB 120.00 118.81 0.04 25.25
HDD Western Digital Green 4TB 4000 GB 165.00 163.37 0.04 24.48
HDD Seagate Desktop 4TB 4000 GB 165.00 163.37 0.04 24.48
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 169.00 167.33 0.04 23.91
HDD Western Digital Purple 2TB 2000 GB 85.30 84.46 0.04 23.68
HDD Western Digital Red 4TB 4000 GB 172.00 170.30 0.04 23.49
HDD Western Digital Red 6TB 6000 GB 269.00 266.34 0.04 22.53
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 180.00 178.22 0.04 22.44
HDD Western Digital Green 6TB 6000 GB 277.00 274.26 0.05 21.88
HDD Western Digital Green 2TB 2000 GB 93.10 92.18 0.05 21.70
HDD Hitachi Deskstar 7K4000, 4TB 4000 GB 187.00 185.15 0.05 21.60
HDD Western Digital Red 2TB 2000 GB 99.00 98.02 0.05 20.40
HDD Western Digital Red 5TB 5000 GB 249.00 246.53 0.05 20.28
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 109.00 107.92 0.05 18.53
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 115.00 113.86 0.06 17.57
HDD Western Digital Purple 1TB 1000 GB 62.70 62.08 0.06 16.11
HDD Western Digital Green 1TB 1000 GB 66.30 65.64 0.07 15.23
HDD Western Digital Red 1TB 1000 GB 69.00 68.32 0.07 14.64
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 69.00 68.32 0.07 14.64
DVD-R Verbatim 16x DVD-R 100 @ 4,7GB 470 GB 34.80 34.46 0.07 13.64
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 75.00 74.26 0.07 13.47
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 10 @ 25GB 250 GB 25.10 24.85 0.10 10.06
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R DL 10 @ 50GB 500 GB 57.40 56.83 0.11 8.80
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 50 @ 8,5GB 425 GB 57.20 56.63 0.13 7.50
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 25 @ 8,5GB 213 GB 35.70 35.35 0.17 6.01
SSD Crucial M500 SSD, MLC, 960GB 960 GB 357.00 353.47 0.37 2.72
SSD Crucial M550 SSD, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 385.00 381.19 0.37 2.69
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 1TB 1000 GB 379.00 375.25 0.38 2.66
SSD Crucial MX100 SSD, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 199.00 197.03 0.38 2.60
SSD Crucial M550 SSD, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 199.00 197.03 0.38 2.60
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 500GB 500 GB 198.00 196.04 0.39 2.55
SSD Crucial M500 SSD, MLC, 480GB 480 GB 191.00 189.11 0.39 2.54
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 250GB 250 GB 120.00 118.81 0.48 2.10
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 64GB 64 GB 32.80 32.48 0.51 1.97
CD-R Verbatim CD-R 100 @ 700MB 70 GB 37.30 36.93 0.53 1.90
SSD Samsung SSD 840 Pro Basic, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 142.00 140.59 0.55 1.82
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 579.00 573.27 0.56 1.79
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 147.00 145.54 0.57 1.76
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 120GB 120 GB 69.60 68.91 0.57 1.74
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 32GB 32 GB 20.40 20.20 0.63 1.58
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 333.00 329.70 0.64 1.55
SSD Samsung SSD 840 Pro Basic, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 92.70 91.78 0.72 1.39
USB Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro, USB 3.0, 128GB 128 GB 95.00 94.06 0.73 1.36
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 16GB 16 GB 13.00 12.87 0.80 1.24
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 131.00 129.70 1.01 0.99
SDXC Sandisk Extreme Plus SDXC, 80/60MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 157.00 155.45 1.21 0.82
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 8GB 8 GB 11.10 10.99 1.37 0.73
SDXC Sandisk Extreme Plus SDXC, 80/60MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 89.00 88.12 1.38 0.73
SDXC Sandisk Extreme Pro SDXC, 90/95MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 95.00 94.06 1.47 0.68
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme 120MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 217.00 214.85 1.68 0.60
SDHC Sandisk Extreme Pro, Class UHS-I, 90/95MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 59.30 58.71 1.83 0.55
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 127.00 125.74 1.96 0.51
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 256GB 256 GB 695.00 688.12 2.69 0.37
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 91.30 90.40 2.82 0.35
SDHC Sandisk Extreme Pro, Class UHS-I, 90/95MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 45.70 45.25 2.83 0.35
SDXC Sandisk Extreme Plus SDXC, 80/30MB/s, 8GB 8 GB 24.90 24.65 3.08 0.32
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 16GB 16 GB 51.00 50.50 3.16 0.32
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 204.00 201.98 3.16 0.32
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 128GB 128 GB 408.00 403.96 3.16 0.32
SDXC Sandisk Extreme Pro SDXC, UHS-II, 280/250MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 219.00 216.83 3.39 0.30
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 124.00 122.77 3.84 0.26

Exchange rate: 1 Euro = 1.010000 CHF.

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100TB HDD by 2025?

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ComputerWorld is reporting on a roadmap from the industry consortium ASTC where they predict magnetic hard drives will reach 100 TB by 2025. This is based on the figure below, where they project data areal density will increase a ten-fold from today’s 1 Tbit per square inch.

The technology to make this work, is Heat Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR), which integrates a laser into the hard disk read/write head. Bit patterned magnetic recording (BPMR) will take this further by isolating the bits into smaller “islands”. Finally, Heated-Dot magnetic recording (HDMR) combines the two technologies to reach 10 Tbit / square inch.

However, it is unclear if these technologies will be compatible with the helium filled drives HGST released earlier this year. From the chart, it seems the new technologies are partly based on Shingled Magnetic Recording (SMR). If this is not compatible with seven platter helium drives, we are stuck at only five platters. The biggest of this kind right now is Seagate’s 8 TB disk, but that is already at about 2 Tbit / inch. Therefore, the increase will “only” be five-fold, starting at 8 TB, for at total of 40 TB in a 3.5″ drive. A four times increase of today’s biggest drive in ten years would not be very impressive.

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SSDs last a long time

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At 24 GB/day, or 8.8 TB/year, it would take 114 years to reach 1 PB.
Several SSDs have gone past that point, and still work fine.

Last year, I wrote about estimates for durability of SSD drives. Looking at how long it would take to exhaust the theoretical limit of the storage cells, based on different write speeds and quantities. The assertion was: It would take a very long time, and other technical failures were more likely to render the drive useless long before all cells were used up. In fact, the owner is not likely to outlive full cell exhaustion. This has now been confirmed through an experiment.

Over at Tech Report, they have done an endurance experiment lasting more than a year, with several consumer drives. For months, they have been writing data to the drives, while monitoring drive health, and verifying correctness. Some of the drives were rated for 20 GB / day for three days, which means about 22 TB. However, several of them made it past the 1000 TB, or 1 PB, mark. That’s about 50 times the advertised endurance rating. And two of the drives, a Samsung 840 Pro 256GB, and a Kingston HyperX 3K 240GB, have made to past 1.5 PB. It’s not all clear from the article exactly when they started, or how much they write per day. However, assuming a year to get to 1.5 PB, that’s 4.1 TB / day, or 47 MByte/s. The actual write speed is probably higher, but this leaves time for verification as well.

To put these numbers into perspective, I’ve extended the table from last time, and added a line for the speed of the Tech Report endurance test, as well as extra columns for multiple years total. As can be seen, the endurance test is running at 171 the write speed of what was identified as “heavy use”. Furthermore, the heavy use scenario is within what the typical consumer drives are rated for, i.e. about 20 GB/day.

MBit/s MByte/s MByte/hour GByte/day GByte/year TByte 3 years TByte 5 years
SATA3 max speed 6000 750 2700000 64800 23652000 70956 118260
Stress test 2000 250 900000 21600 7884000 23652 39420
Endurance test 376 47 171000 4109 1500000 4500 7500
Heavy use 2.2222 0.2778 1000 24 8760 26.280 43.800
Low/Medium use 0.0926 0.0116 41.67 1 365 1.095 1.825

What about the time to failure estimates; how do they compare to the empirical evidence? Last year, I noted that a 256 GB drive with cells of 10k write cycle life span (typical MLC memory), would take 256 years to reach 10% of failed cells, and about 350 years for full exhaustion, assuming 24 GB/day written. It turns out that was a bit optimistic. At 24 GB/day, or 8.76 TB/year, it would take “only” 172 years to reach 1.5 PB (where the Tech Report drives are now). If we go by 1 PB, it would take 114 years.

This is all for MLC memory. If we look at TLC, typically rated for 1000 write cycles, the endurance numbers are also a tenth. I.e. they would fail between 11 to 17 years of sustained 24 GB/day writes, again assuming a 256 GB drive.

If larger drives are used, the time to failure also increases. This is because there are more total space to level the writes across. In fact, doubling the size of the drive, will in theory double its lifespan. So an MLC 512 GB drive would last some 228 years, and a 1 TB drive 456 years. For TLC, the numbers are again a tenth, so 22 and 45 years respectively.

This is all well and good, and should at least put the final nail in the coffin regarding worries for SSD reliability. The only concern which the Tech Report experiment raises, is the way the drives fail when they do reach end of life. Of course there are plenty of relocated sector warnings in the SMART data beforehand. However, once they are past the point of no recovery, all data is lost. Several of them cannot be accessed at all. This is of course a bit different from spinning disks, which usually keep on reading some of the tracks, even if other parts are broken.

It highlights the fact that monitoring SMART data should be a standard procedure, and part of good data hygiene. Of course, a good backup strategy is required, regardless of drive type or usage pattern.

Storage prices

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If you need massive storage, 6 TB disks are already very competitively priced. However, the 3 TB WD Green still gives the most GB per coin. Amongst SSD, several 1 TB disks rank towards the top, but still at ten times more than magnetic. Finally, USB flash drives and SD cards are coming down in price, with a large 64 GB option at the top.

Details of updates

There has been several announcements of products you cannot buy yet lately. On the following list, all are for sale and immediate delivery.

The list has seen significant updates since last time, in product ranges, prices: Western Digital now has five colour codes for their desktop disks, three of which are included here. There is the inexpensive large but slow Green, the Red for NAS and RAID with extra warranty, and the Purple in between. Also new since February are the 5 and 6 TB disks.

At 92 Euros, the 3 TB Green is at the top of the list at 32.4 GB per Euro. It is interesting to note that the 6 TB version is already towards the top, at just a bit more than double the price; €202, or 29.6 GB/€. For external disks, the 4 TB Elements Desktop is at the top, for €135, or 29 GB/€.

Amongst the SSD disks, the largest are now at the top, with Crucial 1 TB, 512 GB, and Samsung 1 TB all around 3 GB/€. Most interesting, is the fact that the Crucial claim to be MLC while the Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic is a TLC based disk. The Samsung MLC disk are far more expensive, starting below 2 GB/€. It a sign of a very competitive market, and further decrease in prices ahead.

Finally, lower solid state prices also benefit memory cards and USB sticks. The Sandisk Cruzer Edge 64 GB drive now gives most storage for money. A bit further down, the Sandisk Ultra 64 GB and 128 GB SD cards are good large capacity options, although with slow 30 Mb/s read and write speeds. For top write speed, at an impressive 280/250 Mb/s read/write, see the new UHS-II based 64 GB SDXC card.

The List

Media Type Product Capacity Price CHF Price Euros Euros / GB GBs / Euro
HDD Western Digital Green 3TB 3000 GB 112.00 92.56 0.03 32.41
HDD Seagate Desktop 4TB 4000 GB 159.00 131.40 0.03 30.44
HDD Western Digital Green 4TB 4000 GB 161.00 133.06 0.03 30.06
HDD Western Digital Green 6TB 6000 GB 245.00 202.48 0.03 29.63
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 164.00 135.54 0.03 29.51
HDD Western Digital Purple 3TB 3000 GB 125.00 103.31 0.03 29.04
HDD Western Digital Green 2TB 2000 GB 85.00 70.25 0.04 28.47
HDD Western Digital Red 3TB 3000 GB 130.00 107.44 0.04 27.92
External 3.5 Western Digital Elements Desktop 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 130.00 107.44 0.04 27.92
HDD Western Digital Purple 4TB 4000 GB 175.00 144.63 0.04 27.66
HDD Western Digital Red 4TB 4000 GB 177.00 146.28 0.04 27.34
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 3TB, USB3 3000 GB 135.00 111.57 0.04 26.89
HDD Western Digital Red 5TB 5000 GB 226.00 186.78 0.04 26.77
External 3.5 Western Digital My Book 4TB, USB3 4000 GB 182.00 150.41 0.04 26.59
HDD Hitachi Deskstar 7K4000, 4TB 4000 GB 184.00 152.07 0.04 26.30
HDD Western Digital Red 6TB 6000 GB 279.00 230.58 0.04 26.02
HDD Western Digital Purple 2TB 2000 GB 95.40 78.84 0.04 25.37
HDD Western Digital Red 2TB 2000 GB 104.00 85.95 0.04 23.27
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 109.00 90.08 0.05 22.20
HDD Western Digital Green 1TB 1000 GB 62.20 51.40 0.05 19.45
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 2TB, USB3 2000 GB 127.00 104.96 0.05 19.06
HDD Western Digital Purple 1TB 1000 GB 69.60 57.52 0.06 17.39
HDD Western Digital Red 1TB 1000 GB 70.50 58.26 0.06 17.16
External 2.5 Western Digital My Passport Ultra 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 75.90 62.73 0.06 15.94
External 2.5 Western Digital Elements Portable 1TB, USB3 1000 GB 77.90 64.38 0.06 15.53
DVD-R Verbatim 16x DVD-R 100 @ 4,7GB 470 GB 40.40 33.39 0.07 14.08
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R SL 10 @ 25GB 250 GB 25.00 20.66 0.08 12.10
Blu-ray Verbatim BD-R DL 10 @ 50GB 500 GB 57.30 47.36 0.09 10.56
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 50 @ 8,5GB 425 GB 69.10 57.11 0.13 7.44
DVD+R DL Verbatim 8x DVD+R DL 25 @ 8,5GB 213 GB 36.40 30.08 0.14 7.06
SSD Crucial MX100 SSD, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 199.00 164.46 0.32 3.11
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 1TB 1000 GB 399.00 329.75 0.33 3.03
SSD Crucial M550 SSD, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 424.00 350.41 0.34 2.92
SSD Crucial M550 SSD, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 224.00 185.12 0.36 2.77
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 500GB 500 GB 226.00 186.78 0.37 2.68
SSD Crucial M500 SSD, MLC, 960GB 960 GB 445.00 367.77 0.38 2.61
SSD Crucial M500 SSD, MLC, 480GB 480 GB 237.00 195.87 0.41 2.45
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 64GB 64 GB 33.50 27.69 0.43 2.31
CD-R Verbatim CD-R 100 @ 700MB 70 GB 36.80 30.41 0.43 2.30
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 750GB 750 GB 404.00 333.88 0.45 2.25
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 250GB 250 GB 137.00 113.22 0.45 2.21
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 1024GB 1024 GB 635.00 524.79 0.51 1.95
SSD Samsung SSD 840 Pro Basic, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 333.00 275.21 0.54 1.86
SSD Samsung SSD 840 Pro Basic, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 167.00 138.02 0.54 1.85
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 32GB 32 GB 21.00 17.36 0.54 1.84
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 256GB 256 GB 179.00 147.93 0.58 1.73
SSD Samsung SSD 840 EVO Basic, TLC, 120GB 120 GB 84.20 69.59 0.58 1.72
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 512GB 512 GB 378.00 312.40 0.61 1.64
SDXC Sandisk Ultra, SDXC, 30MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 52.00 42.98 0.67 1.49
SDXC Sandisk Ultra, SDXC, 30MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 105.00 86.78 0.68 1.48
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 16GB 16 GB 13.30 10.99 0.69 1.46
SSD Samsung SSD 840 Pro Basic, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 112.00 92.56 0.72 1.38
SSD Samsung SSD 850 Pro, MLC, 128GB 128 GB 128.00 105.79 0.83 1.21
SDXC Sandisk Extreme, SDXC, 45MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 65.10 53.80 0.84 1.19
USB Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro, USB 3.0, 128GB 128 GB 135.00 111.57 0.87 1.15
SDHC Sandisk Ultra, Class 10, 30MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 35.00 28.93 0.90 1.11
USB Flash Sandisk Cruzer Edge Flash Drive 8GB 8 GB 8.95 7.40 0.92 1.08
SDHC Sandisk Ultra, Class 10, 30MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 18.80 15.54 0.97 1.03
SDXC Sandisk Extreme SDXC, 80/60MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 162.00 133.88 1.05 0.96
SDXC Sandisk Extreme SDXC, 80/60MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 89.00 73.55 1.15 0.87
SDHC Sandisk Ultra, Class 10, 30MB/s, 8GB 8 GB 12.30 10.17 1.27 0.79
SDXC Sandisk Extreme Pro SDXC, 90/95MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 117.00 96.69 1.51 0.66
SDHC Sandisk Extreme Pro, Class UHS-I, 90/95MB/s, 32GB 32 GB 78.00 64.46 2.01 0.50
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 167.00 138.02 2.16 0.46
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 256GB 256 GB 709.00 585.95 2.29 0.44
SDHC Sandisk Extreme Pro, Class UHS-I, 90/95MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 46.10 38.10 2.38 0.42
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme 120MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 384.00 317.36 2.48 0.40
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme 60MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 228.00 188.43 2.94 0.34
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 116.00 95.87 3.00 0.33
Compact Flash SanDisk Ultra 30MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 58.50 48.35 3.02 0.33
SDXC Sandisk Extreme SDXC, 80/30MB/s, 8GB 8 GB 29.30 24.21 3.03 0.33
SDHC Sandisk Extreme Pro, Class UHS-I, 90/95MB/s, 8GB 8 GB 30.30 25.04 3.13 0.32
SDXC Sandisk Extreme Pro SDXC, UHS-II, 280/250MB/s, 64GB 64 GB 247.00 204.13 3.19 0.31
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 32GB 32 GB 149.00 123.14 3.85 0.26
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 64GB 64 GB 333.00 275.21 4.30 0.23
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 60MB/s, 16GB 16 GB 84.30 69.67 4.35 0.23
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 160MB/s, UDMA 7, 128GB 128 GB 708.00 585.12 4.57 0.22
Compact Flash SanDisk Extreme 120MB/s, UDMA 7, 16GB 16 GB 91.00 75.21 4.70 0.21
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 100MB/s, 128GB 128 GB 776.00 641.32 5.01 0.20
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 90MB/s, UDMA 6, 32GB 32 GB 224.00 185.12 5.79 0.17
Compact Flash Sandisk Extreme Pro 90MB/s, UDMA 6, 64GB 64 GB 452.00 373.55 5.84 0.17

Exchange rate: 1 Euro = 1.210000 CHF.

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Why 10TB drives could be bad news

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In this week’s news, Hitachi GST (HGST) announced a 10 TB HDD. It ups the earlier announcement by Seagate of a 8 TB disk. Although both companies claim the disks are “shipped”, they are nowhere near consumers yet. Both are shipping samples to a select few partners. Tech writers are ecstatic, though, and are happily re-publishing most of the official press release.

10 TB in a 3.5″ HDD is an impressive feat in itself, however the technology used to achieve it might mark the end of general purpose magnetic disks: First, this is another helium based disk from HGST, which stacks seven platters. It remains to be seen how long the helium can be contained within the disk, but is probably a lot shorter than the shelf-life of an air-based magnetic disk. Regardless of lifespan, what makes the 10 TB milestone less impressive, and even slightly worrisome, is the seven platters. That is a one-time trick. We cannot expect disks with even more platters stacked on top of each other in the future, so growth will not continue that route. It has to come from increased areal density of the bits per platter.

The brings me to the second issue with this disk: Areal density is achieved by so called Shingled Magnetic Recording (SMR). As explained by Seagate, it means that each data track is stacked slightly above the other, just like shingles on a roof. To make this work, existing data has to be re-written if something is changed in neighboring tracks. This could result in delays when writing data on an almost full disk. Furthermore, it will require special handling by the OS (in case of the “host managed” 10 TB HGST disk). Implementing that right might not be trivial. SMR based disks are in other words not drop-in replacements for all applications. Although, for scenarios which are write once (or infrequently), and read often, this is not a problem.

Combined, these two technologies will most likely take us to 20 TB and beyond. Assuming the 8 TB Seagate disk used five 1.6 TB platters, a seven platter disk would give 11.2 TB. That is of course the advantage of more platters, it amplifies any advance in areal density. Between five and seven platters, the factor is 1.4, and between four and seven it’s 1.75.

The trend of ever decreasing HDD prices will continue, even though the products might not be for everyone.

Seagate brags about 8 TB disks

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It was only a few days ago I mentioned Western Digital’s new 6 TB disks. It seems Seagate got nervous, and are now claiming to “ship” 8 TB disks. However, it is a misleading headline at best: The drives in question are not on sale anywhere, and only special “pre-production prototypes” have been given to few select partners. Furthermore, the initial batches will be aimed at enterprise customers who can afford them. As an early-adopter strategy, that makes sense, but it means you will not get your hands on one any time soon. So, the prediction from a few days ago holds: 8.4 TB is already within reach, with 7 platters * 1.2 TB, but needs special technology like helium filled drives. We will probably not have 8 TB drives before 2015.

The bit-tech article is also very light on technical detail, presumably because Seagate holds their cards close. There is no mentioned on how they have gotten to 8 TB, only that 10 TB might also be within reach soon. The later would be very interesting, since even with 7 platters it means an increase in areal density to 1.4 TB per platter. Or if we assume 5 platters, an impressive 2 TB. That will probably not reach the market before end of 2015, possibly 2016.

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6 TB disks, 1.2 TB platters finally here

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Earlier this week, Anandtech could report that Wester Digital has finally taken the next incremental step in spinning HDD size. The WD Red series will now come in sizes of 5 and 6 TB, as will the Green series. 6 TB is accomplished using 5 platters, which is a new trend for Western Digital. As mentioned earlier, the five-platter technology was acquired from Hitachi, and we now start seeing them in NAS type WD drives. With five platters, it means each has 1.2 TB, which is shy of the 1.25 TB expected this year. It is important, since it means the 5 TB version also contains five platters, of 1 TB each, rather than 4 * 1.25 TB.

As the AnandTech article points out, WD is still using Perpendicular Magnetic Recording (PMR) technology, as in previous drives. It means that the 1.2 TB areal density should be easily compatible with the HGST seven platters helium drives. That should make 7 * 1.2 = 8.4 TB drives immediately possible. However, as marketing seems to be focused on whole integer increments only, expect 7 and 8 TB drives in this combination. That would be in line with the predictions seen here last year.

As for price, the WD Green is not yet announced. For the Red series, 5 TB will be $250, and 6 TB $300, which puts both in at 5 cents per GB. That is 39% more expensive than the cheapest Seagate 3 TB disk in the storage graphs. However, the newest and biggest drives always start at a premium for the early adopters. These new drives will probably mean that the previous step, 4 TB, will rise to the top as the best GB per buck.

Historical Cost of Computer Memory and Storage

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I’ve finally gotten around to update the graph and data at hblok.net/storage. Since it has been a while since last time, I thought I would be left with a gap in the data. However, John C. McCallum who collected the original data got my back. I’ve incorporated his newer data points, as well as automated my own collection. Hopefully, it will not go quit so long between updates in the future.
 
 

RAM prices up

 
Due to a fire at the Hynix Fab plants in 2012, RAM prices are significantly up, and still at 2012 prices. Joel Hruska at extremetech.com has an interesting analysis into its effects. In the chart below, he notes that prices doubled after the fire. The latest data I’ve collected show that it’s going in the right direction again. However, as Hruska also points out, the market for desktops is in decline, and laptops, tablets and phones will not need the same memory types.


 
 

HDD / Magnet disk prices go sideways

 
In 2011 flooding in Thailand caused major damage to HDD factories of Western Digital, Samsung, and Toshiba. Prices have almost recovered from that by now, however it means a set-back in the HDD trend by almost three years.

In another article by Joel Hruska, he includes the graph below from Backblaze who plotted real and estimated prices on different HDD types. Although he takes issue with Backblaze’s extrapolation, it did get the significant lag of the trend right.

Furthermore, larger drives have yet to materialize. The 6 TB HGST (owned by Western Digital) Ultrastar He6 has been out for a while. Paul Alcorn at tweaktown.com discussed the details in a review a few months back. The trick is to put a whopping seven platters into the drive (as opposed to the normal three to five). However, to make that work, the drive has to be sealed and filled helium; thus its name. The new technology comes at a higher prices: It retails at Amazon for $476.99, or $0.0794/GB. That’s more than double the Seagate 3TB at $109.99 or $0.0367/GB.

So although the helium technology has a long way to go, it could be the next step for higher capacity drives. At 6 TB over 7 platters, each hold only 857 GB. That is a bit off from the 1 TB platters which have been available for a long time now, and we were “promised” 1.25 TB platters by the end of this year. If the later are compatible with the “7Stac” technology, it could mean 1.25 * 7 = 8.75 TB drives in the future. If pricing also improves, it could be that the magnetic hard disk trend is back onto its 40 year track.

 
 

SSD and flash prices down

 
Flash memory and Solid State Drives have no accidents hampering their growth and price decline. The trend is linear (i.e. on the logarithmic scale) over the last ten years. Larger drives are also gradually becoming available, with SanDisk recently announcing their enterprise 4 TB Optimus MAX SAS, and predicting 8 TB SSDs by next year. In that Computer World article, they’ve included a Gartner graph, seen below, which predicts SSD price parity with HDD by 2017. It’s important to note that they compare enterprise drives here, which live in a completely different world than the cheapest and biggest consumer drives.

For the chart I’m tracking, it is mostly the USB sticks that make it to the top, with the best price / capacity ratio. At this point, it seems that is not because the USB sticks are getting larger, but rather that the smallest ones are getting cheaper. SanDisk is now “giving away” 8 GB drives for less than $3 (although that does not give you free shipping at NewEgg).

 
 

Updated overall graph

Finally, the updated graph. The permanent link is hblok.net/storage
 

(Click for larger image)

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